Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1955.744650 2133.830194 2315.771965 2515.274343 2727.596729 2946.528329 3189.052411
2024-11-03 1719.348700 1986.766639 2271.584380 2596.392950 2955.399697 3338.940232 3778.516757
2024-11-10 1557.433164 1878.063181 2230.142691 2643.133151 3111.911983 3625.120819 4227.021775
2024-11-17 1407.256061 1761.272683 2160.403155 2639.926798 3196.466676 3818.149904 4561.057944
2024-11-24 1270.196203 1645.191259 2078.288744 2609.958927 3239.330127 3954.899088 4824.005187
2024-12-01 1184.696397 1581.712074 2050.046715 2635.809622 3341.034427 4154.925833 5157.006950
2024-12-08 1097.433425 1508.776589 2003.957361 2634.351806 3405.430032 4307.759923 5432.742490
2024-12-15 1045.909166 1475.882580 2002.843924 2684.139203 3528.970029 4529.437657 5790.144835
2024-12-22 968.552448 1404.742376 1949.435773 2665.011410 3564.908736 4643.567728 6017.531275
2024-12-29 933.909286 1386.375411 1960.386229 2724.607608 3696.917092 4874.013998 6386.601892
2025-01-05 884.222935 1344.800293 1938.730283 2740.370669 3772.424274 5034.464197 6670.594211
2025-01-12 834.572427 1300.213373 1910.446871 2745.203342 3832.308309 5174.612771 6929.605124
2025-01-19 750.865313 1205.105101 1812.306291 2656.542958 3771.307657 5163.802798 7002.834852
2025-01-26 737.202938 1207.582472 1844.915139 2740.849733 3934.906272 5438.005701 7436.394947
2025-02-02 712.092202 1191.999437 1851.586507 2789.554758 4051.762159 5653.398145 7797.480202
2025-02-09 671.200948 1151.075550 1821.153141 2786.214039 4098.669888 5778.602173 8044.291636
2025-02-16 624.324326 1098.609143 1772.069210 2754.988667 4106.496054 5852.021424 8224.255209
2025-02-23 598.949021 1077.123431 1765.721732 2781.924305 4191.940960 6026.527208 8535.453385
2025-03-02 566.754447 1043.346201 1740.066063 2780.405374 4237.798525 6148.765786 8779.287566
2025-03-09 552.040882 1036.043236 1752.375276 2832.275378 4356.849560 6368.404630 9151.940498
2025-03-16 518.274301 996.593866 1715.540101 2812.348585 4375.691199 6454.277600 9349.105433
2025-03-23 508.609895 995.512392 1735.617904 2874.429687 4508.821570 6693.797236 9750.720423
2025-03-30 487.606586 974.664083 1724.860856 2890.847789 4577.672583 6847.103656 10038.992632